Canada Express Entry July 2025 Draw Predictions and CRS Trends
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Canada's Express Entry system remains central to the country's economic integration agenda, providing skilled workers with a direct route to permanent residency. As we move into July 2025 Immigration Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) continues to refine its approach to align immigration with labour market demands.
Express Entry in 2025: Overview of Policy Shifts and Priorities
The Immigration Levels Plans 2025 - 2027 outlines a target of 395,000 new permanent residents in 2025 down from 485,000 in 2024, driven by concerns over housing, healthcare capacity and economic integration. For 2025, 124,680 allocations were done to Express Entry program with:
- 82,980 spots for In Canada applicants, mainly through the Canadian Experience Class (CEC)
- 41,700 spots reserved for Federal Economic priorities like healthcare, trades, and French language proficiency.
What to Expect from July 2025 Express Entry Draws?
An overview of the July predictions for Express Entry draws are as follows:
1. Emphasis on Targeted Draws
IRCC is expected to continue with targeted draws in July, focusing on
- Canadian Experience Class
- Provincial Nominee Program
- Category Based Draws (healthcare, education, French proficiency)
With 38,845 ITAs issued as of June 30, an estimated 3 to 4 draws may be held in July, issuing between 4,000 to 7,500 its in total
2. CEC Draws Remain a Priority
Canadian Experience Class (CEC) draws would remain a priority under the in Canada in-focus strategy. June witnessed 2 CEC draws on June 12th and 26th issuing 6,000 ITAs with CRS cut off of 529 and 521, respectively.
July Predictions
- Expected Draws: 1-2
- ITAs: 2,500 - 3,500
- CRS Cutoff: 520 - 530
Enhance your CRS score through improved language proficiency (CLB 9+) or additional Canadian work experience.
Read Next:
- Is Language Proficiency Key to Canada PR Success in 2025?
- IRCC Allows Extra Express Entry Points for Remote Foreign Work while Working in Canada
3. PNP Draws Might Be Smaller But to Remain Significant
Five PNP draws were held in early 2025, issuing 2,391 ITAs, though allocations were reduced to 55,000
July Predictions
- Expected Draws: 1-2
- ITAs: 100 - 600
- CRS Cutoff: 720 - 750
Target provinces with labour gaps like Manitoba, New Brunswick. Securing a PNP nomination adds 600 points and almost guarantees an ITA.
4. Category-Based Draws With Sector-Specific Focus
IRCC is expected to continue its focus on critical sectors
- Healthcare Draws: Limited activity recorded so far (2 draws with 1,000 ITAs shared). Likely draw in July with 500 to 1,000 ITAs and CRS cutoff between 500 to 510.
- Education Draws: With the first draw held in May, a repeat is likely expected in July. Expected number of ITAs to be shared is between 800 to 1,200 and CRS cut off around 475 to 485.
- French Proficiency Draws: Already 18,500 ITAs have been issued in 2025. July could see another 5,000 to 7,000 ITAs with CRS cutoff around 370 to 400.
Highlight your qualifications in Express Entry profile, especially for French language and sector based categories.
CRS Score Insights for 2025 Express Entry Draws
| Draw Type | CRS Cut Off |
|---|---|
| CEC and PNP Draws | High CRS threshold; CEC: 520+, PNP: 700+ |
| Category based Draws | French: 370 - 410 Education: 475 - 485 Healthcare: 500 - 510 |
The removal of job offer points (Update as of March 2025) may marginally ease some thresholds, but overall cut offs will stay high due to reduced targets
*Securing a score of 510+ is competitive for CEC or healthcare draws, while 450+ may be sufficient for French or education draws
Express Entry Future Outlook for 2026 and Beyond
The November 2025 Immigration Levels Plan will set new targets for 2026 - 2028. Here’s what’s planned for:
- 2026: 380,000 permanent residents, 123,230 Express Entry spots
- 2027: 365,000 residents, 118,730 Express Entry spots
Francophone Admissions:
- 2025: 8.5%
- 2026: 9.5% (31,350)
- 2027: 10% (31,500)
*Larger French draws are expected as Canada pursues its Francophone integration goals.
Explore Your Canada PR Options with GetGIS
In July 2025 Express Entry draws are expected to maintain their focus on in Canada applicants, PNP and targeted occupations. While the system is more selective due to lower targets, opportunities still exist, especially through strategic alignment with Canada's labour market and immigration goods.
For a successful Navigation through the Canada immigration and securing PR visa, reach out for GetGIS expert assistance without delay.
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